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TC Council Packet 01-09-2007TOWN OF "ON, COLORADO REGULAR COUNCIL MEETING FOR TUESDAY, JANUARY 9, 2007 AVON MUNICIPAL BUILDING, 400 BENCHMARK ROAD PRESIDING OFFICIALS MAYOR RON WOLFE MAYOR PRO TEM BRIAN SIPES COUNCILORS RICHARD CARROLL DAVE DANTAS KRISTi FERRARO Amy PHILLIPS TAMRA NOTTINGHAM UNDERWOOD TOWN STAFF TOWN ATTORNEY: JOHN DUNN TOWN MANAGER: LARRY BROOKS TOWN CLERK: PATTY McKENNY THIS MEETING IS OPEN TO THE PUBLIC-, COMMENTS FROM THE PUBLIC ARE WELCOME ESTIMATED TIMES ARE SHOWN FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY, SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE PLEASE VIEW AVON'S WEBSITE, HTTP://WWW.AVON.ORG, FOR MEETING AGENDAS AND COUNCIL MEETING MATERIALS AGENDAS ARE POSTED AT AVON MUNICIPAL BUILDING AND RECREATION CENTER, ALPINE BANK, AND CITY MARKET THE AVON TOWN COUNCIL MEETS ON THE SECOND AND FOURTH TUESDAYS OF EVERY MONTH WORK SESSION AGENDA MEETING BEGINS AT 2 PM 2:00 PM — 3:00 PM 1. EXECUTIVE SESSION (John Dunn, Town Attorney) Pursuant to CRS 24-6-402 (4)(b) conference with town attorney for the local public body for the purposes of receiving legal advice on specific legal questions related to Riverfront Subdivision and The Village (at Avon) 3:00 PM — 3:15 PM 2. APPROVAL OF WORK SESSION AGENDA & COUNCIL ASSIGNMENT UPDATES a. NWCCOG & VVCTB & Beaver Creek Marketing Updates (Amy Phillips, Councilor) Memo only b. Eagle County Housing Committee Update (Ron Wolfe, Mayor) 3:15 PM — 3:45 PM 4. ECO 2030 VISION (Harry Taylor, ECO Transit Manager, David Johnson, ECO Transit Planner) A 25-year transit vision will be presented by ECO representatives 3:45 PM — 5:00 PM 5. Housing Needs Assessment Presentation (Eric Heidemann, Community Development Director, and RRC and Associates) Review of the recently completed housing study which looks at the factors that are affecting the housing supply and demand in Avon, and conditions under which local housing demand is or is not being met. RRC Associates, the Town's consulting firm, will be presenting the findings from the report 6. STAFF UPDATES a. Project Summary Report / Memo Only b. Business Registration Update / Memo only 5:00 PM 7. ADJOURNMENT Avon Council Meeting. 07.01.09 Page 1 of 4 Committee Report Submitted by: Councilor Amy Phillips January 3, 2007 Beaver Creek Marketing Committee • Rich Carroll will be representing Avon in the future on this committee • Press trip is planned to NYC and are in the process of submitting the following Press Releases & Story Ideas • Historical Designation of the Nottingham Electric Plant/Water Wheel • White Water Rodeo • Opening of the White Water Park - includes improved fly fishing and river access • Opening of Leeds certified Traer Creek Plaza • 4th of July Fireworks - largest on western slope • Beaver Creek Rodeo at Traer Creek - we all know & love VVCTB • The board has re-organized and updated by-laws o No Elected Government Officials will be on the Board of Governors o VVCTB plans to increase Statewide Political representation for the Resort & Business Community • VVCTB is moving into Traer Creek Plaza o They will be operating an information booth in the Lobby NWCOG • January Meeting will be at the Avon Library 9:30am— 12:00pm on Thursday January 25 • Eagle County Contributed 500K to Gypsum Rec Center • We as a council need to understand how Tabor & Bruce amendments affect our ability to change the RETT uses & Waivers Chanel 5 • 2007 Budget approved o Organization is in better shape than the last 2 years • New Equipment is providing better programming J� M Le 1111 To: Honorable Mayor and Town Council Thru: Larry Brooks, Town Manager From: Bob Reed, Director of Public Works and Transportation Date: 1/3/07 Re: ECO 2030 Vision Summary: Harry Taylor, ECO Transit Manager, and David Johnson, ECO Transit Planner will be here to present their 25 year vision for Transit. Background: Using information from various sources, (some of which Council has seen previously), ECO has come up with this 25 year Transit plan they hope to use as a guide to be proactive in the long term planning process. Discussion: Harry Taylor and David Johnson will have a powerpoint presentation that should generate discussion in these matters, and will be able to answer any questions we might have of their thought process. The Town of Avon Transportation Dept. can in turn use this information in our own long range planning. Financial Implications: There are no immediate financial implications regarding this presentation, although in the future, this information could be used in the budget process. Recommendation: Staff has no recommendations at this time, however we do plan to use this information as a tool in our long range planning process. AM71M To: Honorable Mayor and Town Council Thru: Larry Brooks, Town Manager From: Matt Gennett, AICP, Senior Planner Date: January 9, 2007 Re: Discussion of the Town of Avon Housinq Needs Assessment 2006 Background: In June of 2006, the Town of Avon commissioned a study to be completed by RRC Associates to determine Avon's housing stock and the availability of various types of housing in Avon and the labor force that is employed within the town's boundaries. The product of this effort is attached to this staff memorandum as Exhibit B and is titled the Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006, Final Draft. The goal of the this exercise is to fully understand the housing needs in the town and explore policy options in order to better house it's citizens and in- commuting labor force as Eagle County and its neighboring counties continue to grow over time. Summary: The attached final draft of the Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 represents an analysis of current and future housing needs based upon current demographic data including AMI (Average Median Income) indices, and interviews conducted with various large employers located within the town's municipal boundaries. The report identifies the current gap in the Town of Avon's present housing stock in terms of what types of housing are most lacking in comparison with what is considered "affordable" to local families and the existing labor force, and forecasts how this gap will expand over time given the current trends in housing demand identified in the available data. Pages 14 and 15 of the attached report outline Program Opportunities and Recommendations derived from this study, and a Summary of Housing Program Options follows on pages 16 through 19 in the form of a matrix. Staff is asking the Town Council to review the attached document and a presentation by RRC Associates and then provide direction to staff on a policy goal for the implementation of an "affordable" housing program that establishes regulated requirements to be met by developers for the creation of "affordable" housing products in Avon. The policy and regulatory language requiring new housing should be crafted in a manner which is commensurate with the anticipated development impacts upon employment and housing. The following sections of this memo outline discussion items and questions that require attention prior to crafting new policies and the eventual drafting of regulatory language; and review next steps in the process. Discussion Items: The findings presented in the Housing Assessment reveal gaps in workforce housing at nearly all price points in the market. The report also identifies "catch up" housing needs and "keep up" projections for housing future demand. As we look forward to the next steps, which include setting goals and priorities, staff is seeking direction from Council relative to how conservative or aggressive we should address not only future demand, but also "catch up" needs. As part of this topic of discussion, it is helpful to look at what Eagle County and other municipal jurisdictions are doing with regard to the need for and creation of "affordable housing" policies and programs. Staff is not suggesting that we model our program based on the County or the Town of Vail, but have simply referenced their policies so Council understands how other communities have decided to address this issue. The following are excerpts from Eagle County's Local Resident Housing Guidelines (dated July 17, 2005): Chapter/, Background and Purpose The Local Resident Housing Guidelines' goal is directed at helping establish a supply of housing that is affordable to those who live and /or work in Eagle County. This goal is to be accomplished by requiring new residential and nonresidential development to provide local resident housing based an established rates and /or determined number of jobs to be generated as a result of the development. The purpose of these Guidelines is to set forth (1) the Inclusionary Housing standards, (2) the Employee /Housing Linkage standards, (3) occupancy guidelines for Local Resident Housing Units, (4) sale and resale procedures for Local Resident Housing Units, and (5) sale and resale price limitations on Local Resident Housing Units. (Chapter 1, Background and Purpose, Pg 3) SECTION 3-100. Creation: Local Resident Housing Units should be created either through (1) Inclusionary Housing or (2) Employee/Housing Linkage guidelines. Residential development plans will be subject to both Inclusionary Housing and Employee /Housing Linkage guidelines, unless otherwise exempted. Commercial and other nonresidential development plans will be subject to the Employee /Housing Linkage guidelines only. Inclusionary Housing targets the development of Moderate Income Housing affordable to households with incomes between 80% and 100% of AMI. Employee /Housing Linkage targets Low Income Housing affordable to households with incomes between 60% and 80% of AMI. Local Resident Housing Developments which provide 100% of their units for "Qualified Employees" meeting sales price, size, quality and other criteria set forth are exempt from these Housing Guidelines SECTION 3-110. Inclusionary Housing: All new residential developments of four (4) or more units within the unincorporated area of Eagle County, not meeting an exemption as set forth herein, should include up to ten twenty percent (20%) of the total units developed as Local Resident Housing for qualified moderate, low and very low income Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment, January 9, 2007 households on site. I When required to develop one Local Resident Housing Unit, the developer will b8 required bJ build o two-bedroom unit. ... SECTION 3-Y2W' EmployeelHousing Linkage: All new development within the u0inCOq}0n3&ed area Of Eagle County, not meeting an exemption, should provide Up b2 twenty percent /20%J of the k)&3/ hOU0/Dg UOd need generated by the particular development's employees for qualified low income and very low income households 0n site. ... On January 2, 2007, the Vail TOvvD Council held 8 work session tO discuss scenarios using "COrnm0Rj8| Linkage" and "IOC/uSi0DGry Zoning" k} Cr8@t8 housing policy. The Vail Town Council provided diFeCU0O to further develop regulatory language that calls for 8 COrDnn8roio| linkage requirement Of2O%, and 8n''inc|usiOO@ry" zoning requirement Of30%. The Town Of Vail has 8 Stated policy gO3|, which is to Cr88i8 housing for thirty percent (30%) of the total workforce within its town boundaries Staff Recommendation: Staff [eCOnlm8OdS the TOvvO Council direct S[8ff t0 develop housing [8gU|@UOnS. by ordinance, that are COnlnl8OSu[a[8 with the anticipated d8Ve|OprneDt impacts Upon employment and housing. There are several suggested policy tools (page 14Of the report) that staff would suggest we use to develop a program. After receiving direction from Council, S[8ff is prepared h3 develop an 0ndiO@OCe, which may include one or more of the policy alternatives discussed in the report, and bring back to Council for review. ' This r8C0nlnlOOd8U0n is based On the findings in the report and the Town's existing Comprehensive P|8D which supports afk)njob|e housing through a variety of rnmons, including: public and private 8fh}rtS. upgrading existing 8ffOPd8b/e housing, and participation in countywide housing policies and procedures. Given the findings presented at the recent ULI panel discussion held in Vail on December 11, 2006, staff would also suggest that our goals and polices eventually mesh with the policies of 8 pOLHnU8| COUntv-wid8, intergovernmental housing collaborative to be established in the near future as contemplated during the UL| panel diSCUSSiOO. Hovvev8[. staff does not recommend the Town of Avon wait to develop 8 F8gU|8k}ry pn0g[@Dl UnU| 8 future r8giOD8| housing collaborative iS formed due 0] the immediate need for housing. Attachments: A. Comprehensive Plan Housing Element B. Town 0f Avon Housing Assessment, Final Draft 2O08 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment, January 9, 2007 L L c capitalize on an overall community image rather than a single venue or event. Policy E.3.13: Encourage collaborative approaches between the various community stakeholders, such as but not limited to the Eagle County, Vail Valley Chamber and Tourism Bureau, Beaver Creek Resort Company, Vail Resorts, Eagle County School District, Town of Avon Parks and Recreation Department, and Eagle County Library District to enhance Avon's overall guest Policy E.3.14: AchieNX greater use of existing natural a ets and facilities in the commu\Ton's expanded scents to strengthen tar - round guest to provide an cal residents. F. H ousing Goal F1: Achieve a diverse range of quality housing options to serve diverse segments of the population. Policy F.1.1: Establish policies and programs that would address housing needs identified in a periodic housing needs assessment. Policy F.1.2: Encourage private development to include a diversity of housing types, sizes, architectural styles, and prices. Goal F.2: Provide a workforce housing program that incorporates both rental and ownership opportunities for residents that are attractive, safe and integrated with the community. Town of Avon Comprehensive Plan Page 52 Goals and Policies) Policy F.2.1: Require that development, annexations, and major redevelopment includes or otherwise provides for workforce housing. Policy F.2.2: Require that workforce housing is integrated with, rather than separated from, the rest of the community. Policy F.2.3: Require workforce housing to be close to existing development, serviced by transit, and close to schools /child care. Policy F.2.4: Establish a definitive dwelling unit size and quality standards for required workforce housing as part of any development or redevelopment agreements. Policy F.2.5: Adhere to the principle of "no net loss" to workforce housing. Goal F.3: Participate in countywide housing policies and procedures. Policy F.3.1: Participate in countywide down - payment assistance program. Policy F.3.2: Collaborate on joint housing studies and strategies to avoid jurisdictional shopping. rtation -Goal G.1: Create an integrated transit system that minimizes dependence on automobile travel within the Town by making it easier and e inviting to use transit, walk, ride bicyc and utilize other non - motorized vehicles. Policy G.1.1: ,Town of Avon Comprehensive Plan Wage 53 Connect pede- ' n, bicycle, and vehicular circulatio�tem with regional trans Town of Avon . HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT 2006 December 2006 Prepared for: Town of Avon Prepared by: RRC Associates, Inc. 4940 Pearl East Circle, Suite 103 Boulder, CO 80301 (303) 449 -6558 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 VacancyRates ............................... ..................................................................................................... .................................. 45 Income and Employee Restricted Rentals .-----.......................... ...... ................................ ....... —............................ 40 RESIDENTIALSALES 8Y YEAR .................... .................................................................................................................................. 47 RESIDENTIALSALE PRICES ................... -- ..... ....................... ........ ............................................................................ ........... 47 NEWAND EXISTING SALES ............. ................................................................... .......................................................................... 5O SALE PRICES AND LOCAL INCOMES ...................................................................... ....... ................................................................ 51 SALESTO LOCALS ............................................................... ---................................................................................................. 52 MULTIPLELISTING SERVICE .......................................... — ... --..... ....................... ...................................................................... 53 AFFORDABILITYBYAML---- ............ ........................................... ........................................................................................ 53 SECTIONG~ HOUSING NEED ...................................................................................................................................................... 5G AVON RESIDENTS WITH "HOUSING PROBLEMS" (CATCH-UP) ............................. ............................... ......................................... 5G IN-COMMUTERS (CATCH-UP) ................. ... ... ... ... ................................................................ ..................................................... b7 In-Commuter Needs bv Tenure ............................... ............................................................................................................. 58 IncomeRange ...................................................... ........................... .... — ................... ................. —................................. 50 NEWJOBS (<EEP-UP) ...... ................................... ................................................................................ ..................................... 59 Keep-Up Needs bv Tenure ....... .......................................... ................................................................................................ 0Y IncomeRange .................................................................................... ----------- ................. ......... ..... ............. U2 SEASONALWORKERS ................................................................................................................................................................... 82 RENTALHOUSING ......................................................................................................................................................................... 85 RRC Associates, Inc TOC Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 different income levels. The Housing Continuum depicts what may be ideal for most communities — the availability of housing that is affordable to all households and provides options for changing life circumstances. What is key in this approach is that there are opportunities for households to buy or rent at different income levels, thus supporting an economically balanced community. Housing Continuum 2006 $36,001- $53,650 Low Income 50 - 80% AMI 80% 3531114/14.2 %HH AMI $21,601- $3Q000 50% Very Low Income 30 - 50% AMI 341 HH 1 13.7 %HH / 30 °f° NEmergency $0$21,600 Under 30% 0 -30 %AMI 245HH/9.9 %HH METHODOLOGY Area Covered $53,651- $86,400 Middle Income 80 - 120 %AMl 742 HH129.8% HH 100% 110% AMI AMI First Time Entry Home Level Market Buyers Market Rentals Housinc TB'road 0 ?a Renter Market 120% AMI Over $86,401 Above Middb Income +120% AMI 811 HH 132.6 %HH Step Up Market High End Market Source: 2000 US Census (CHAS); The Housing Collaborative, LLC; RRC Associates, Inc. 180% AMI This study covers the Town of Avon and provides information on Eagle County as a whole, where applicable. A mix of primary research and available public information sources was used to generate information regarding the town. Primary Research Primary research was conducted to generate information beyond that available from existing public sources. This research included local employer, realtor and property manager interviews and discussions with the Town planning department. • Seven local Avon employers and an employer in Beaver Creek were interviewed to understand where employees live; changes in employment over time; the ability for employers to find and retain employees; the wage structure and position availability of local employers and to what extent employee housing is perceived to be an issue by employers. • Three realtors and four property managers were interviewed to learn what households are seeking when looking to purchase or rent a unit. Trends in real estate sales and the rental market were also discussed. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Four different income categories are defined for various programs and policies: 1, Extremely low income, which is less than 30% of the median family income; 2, Very low income, which is between 30% and 50% of the median family income; 3. Low income, which is between 50% and 80% of the median family income; 4. Middle income, which is between 80% and 120% of the median family income; and 5. Above middle income, which is over 120% of the median family income. Section 8 Rent Subsidy- the Section 8 Housing Assistance Payment program is offered through the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This program pays the difference between 30% of monthly household income and the Fair Market Rent (FMR) established by HUD for the Denver Metro area. There are two types of Section 8 assistance: 1) project based where vouchers are attached to specific properties, or 2) vouchers -- households using Section 8 assistance find market rate housing where the landlord is willing to participate in the program. Levels of Homeownership — When discussing affordability of properties by Area Median Income (AMI) level (defined above) and the types of homes households among different AMI groups are seeking, reference is made to a couple different stages of homeownership. This includes: 1. Entry-level ownership /first -time homebuyers: These are households typically earning in the low to middle income range (60 to 120 percent AMI). These are households that currently rent (or otherwise do not own a home) and are looking to purchase their first home. 2. Move -up buyers: These are households earning in the middle to upper income range (about 120 percent AMI or higher) that currently own a home (either in Avon or in another community) and are looking to purchase a new or different home for a variety of reasons (relocating, growing family (e.g., having children), shrinking family (e.g., empty - nesters), etc.), RRC Associates, Inc . r 4 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 — The median value of single - family homes in Avon in 2000 ($373,000) was about 2.3 times higher than in the state of Colorado as a whole ($160,100); — The median rent in Avon ($954) was 1.6 times higher than in the state of Colorado as a whole ($611) in 2000; and — The median household income of Avon residents ($56,291) was only 1.2 times higher than in the state of Colorado as a whole ($47,203). The median family income in Avon ($52,339) was lower than in the state of Colorado as a whole ($55,883). — Based on the above figures, it is not surprising the percentage of cost-burdened households in Avon (42 percent) is much higher than in the state of Colorado as a whole (29 percent). Residency of Owners: Analysis of the Eagle County Assessor data of property ownership in Avon indicates that about 44 percent of owners have a local Town of Avon address and another 18 percent have addresses in other parts of Eagle County. This has remained fairly consistent since 2001. The largest change is seen in the percentage of owners from other parts of Colorado (primarily the Front Range), where about 2 percent of properties in 2001 were owned by this group versus a much higher 9 percent in 2006. Increased competition for housing units from Front Range buyers was noted by a few realtors, who stated that this group purchases units in a more affordable price range than out -of -state second homebuyers, competing more directly with local residents for housing. Current Deed - Restricted Units: The Town presently has 63 deed - restricted units available for ownership, although 15 of those units are presently retained as rental units to employees in Eagle County earning less than 80 percent of the AM I. All units are valued under $200,000 and provide units at prices that are largely unavailable through the general housing market. This includes 8 3- bedroom units valued under $147,000, All units are condominiums with a few townhomes. A few of these units turn -over to new owners each year. However, the number of units available does not meet local demand for ownership housing. The Town also has several affordable rental units: 244 in Buffalo Ridge affordable to households earning less than 80 percent AMI (built in 2003) and 72 Section 8 apartments at River View. The Town of Avon also has rooms available for rent for bus drivers and City Market has 181- bedroom units available to employees at below- market rates. Rentals in Town are full and many have waiting lists. Property managers indicated they have very few units turn -over each year. Despite the number of year -round rentals in Town, local need for units continues to be higher than the supply. Multiple Listing Service: Of the 129 homes available for sale on the Multiple Listing Service on October 13, 2006, only 26 (about 20 percent) were priced below $400,000. Only three of the lower priced units had 3- bedrooms and most (17 total) had 2- bedrooms, About 11 of the units were in "The Gates," which are condominium units with little storage and not generally suited to year -round occupancy by locals. The average size of units was 790 square feet and all were condominiums. In other words, there are an insufficient number of units provided on the market that may be affordable to and suited to local year -round ownership and occupancy, particularly families. Realtor Observations: Realtors noted that the availability of housing in Avon is not currently meeting the needs of residents and local workers, with a shortage of housing across all needed price - points (from first-time homebuyers through move -up housing). A few felt that competition for affordable units, generally between $300,000 and $400,000, is very high and that many locals looking to purchase cannot find a unit in this price range. A couple noted that affordability is becoming even more of an issue since the new Gondola was planned, with increased speculation. and interest from second homebuyers, particularly on the west side of town. Specifically, all of the realtors noted that units priced under $500,000 are in high demand. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housinq Needs Assessment 2006 $36,001 - $53,650 Low Income 50 - 80% AMI 800/0 3531114114.2 %HH AMI $21,601 - $36,000 50% Very Low Income 30.50% AMI 341 HHJ 13.7% HH / 30% AMI Re trcted $0-$21,600 Under 30% 0 -30 %AMI Emerency 245HH19.9 %HH $53,651- $86,400 Middle Income 80 -120'0 AMI 742 HH129.8% HH 100% 110% AMI AMI / First Time Entry Home Level Market Buyers Market Rentals Housini 0 °#nstam"O Broad Renter Market 120% AMI Over $86,401 Above Middb Income +120% AMI 811 HH132.6 %HH Step Up Market High End Market Source: 2000 US Census (CHAS); The Housing Collaborative, LLC; RRC Associates, Inc. 180% AMI The following table takes the Housing Continuum one step further and identifies the maximum affordable rents and purchase prices of homes within each income category, the estimated catch -up need (or current deficiency in housing to serve residents and in- commuters) and the estimated keep -up need through 2010 and 2015 (or the number of units needed to maintain the current ratio of workers residing in Town as new jobs are added — about 29 percent) is presented for both rental and ownership units by AMI range. The needs identified encompass units needed within the AMI groups that are not currently being served by the market (housing "gaps "), meaning that the needs identified will need to be targeted with local housing programs to help households obtain housing in the community. Finally, a description of different employment industries and job positions that pay wages within each respective AMI group is also provided to understand more about who will be served at different price points. In summary: Rental Units As summarized in the table below, residents with housing problems and in- commuters that may prefer to live in Avon if suitable and affordable housing was available need between 333 to 602 rental units priced below $1,340 per month for a 3- person household in Avon (e.g., the average size of Avon households). These would be units affordable to households earning less than 80 percent of the AMI. The majority of this need (328 to 511 units) should be priced for households earning less than 50 percent AMI (or rents under $900 per month for a 3- person household). The estimated need takes into account Buffalo Ridge units, which were constructed since the 2000 Census, and provided 244 units affordable to households earning less than 80 percent of the AMI. Keep -up units needed include an additional 129 units by 2010 and 132 units between 2010 and 2015. Interviews with long -term rental housing properties in Avon indicate properties are full and most have waiflists. It was noted that during the winter season this is typical for the area. However, vacancy rates in the County as a whole during the non -peak employment season (July through September 2005) were around 5 percent, which is generally the lowest vacancy desired in terms of ensuring adequate housing opportunities and choices for renters. Local Avon rentals indicated that they tend to have only a handful of units turnover each year, with Buffalo Ridge being Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 17 units by 2015 to maintain pace with employee household growth over the next decade. This income group largely represents move -up owners. Provision of housing for the higher AMI ranges should be explored, particularly if entry-level home purchase opportunities increase in Town, given that purchasers of entry-level homes largely comprise the future market for larger, more expensive units. These units will also accommodate needs of new employees recruited to fill higher - paying positions (upper management, etc.) that may have owned a home in their previous community and are looking for comparable housing in Avon. RRC Associates, Inc. 10 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Next Steps The Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment identifies the range of housing needed by current and future residents and employees in the Town of Avon that is currently not being supplied by the housing market. This includes catch -up gaps (or current units that would be needed to help relieve cost-burden and provide more housing options for local residents and current in- commuters) and keep -up gaps (or units that would be needed in the future to accommodate new employees needed to fill new jobs in the Town of Avon). Ideally, the Town of Avon would be able to address resident and employee needs in full; however, in actuality, due to limited financial resources, land capacity and other factors, communities must often identify a segment of the households in need to target with housing programs until additional resources can be acquired to broaden housing programs and availability. In other words, the Town of Avon should evaluate their resident and employee housing needs in conjunction with the opportunities and constraints in the Town, and set priorities and goals for local housing programs. This would include: Goal /Priority Setting. As the Town of Avon continues to develop and land becomes less available, it becomes increasingly more important to ensure that this growth accommodates all segments of the population. This has important considerations with respect to any desired resident housing goals in the area, The relationship between commercial development and local resident housing for workers becomes a more critical part of the equation as available land and capacities decline. The extent to which employee housing is a priority in the Town of Avon needs to be determined, as well as identification of potential locations for that housing, households to target and workable programs to produce housing. Some key measures that many communities consider in setting goals include: o Residential occupancy — as of the 2000 Census, about 26 percent of housing units in Avon were owned by second homeowners and used for vacation units. Is this an acceptable mix of resident occupied units compared to vacation units or should a different mix be the target? How does this compare with recent/new development in Town — is the market developing units such that 74 percent will be occupied by locals? Residential Occupancy Vacation homes/ vacant 260/o -•- ° g Owner- occupied 35% Renter - occupied 39% Source: 2000 Census o Employee residency — as of the 2000 Census, about 29 percent of persons employed in the Town of Avon also lived in the Town of Avon. As of 2006, this means that about 1,240 local employees live in town and 3,100 commute into town for work. Is this an appropriate percentage of workers housed in Avon, or should goals target a different percentage? o Income distribution — presently about 28 percent of Avon residents earn less than 80 percent of the AM 1, 26 percent between 80 and 140 percent AM and 20 percent earn over 140 percent AM I. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Program Opportunities and Recommendations Several program options are available to help address housing needs. The below housing program matrix is intended to summarize a range of alternatives for consideration by the Town of Avon and provides a definition /description for each program, potential funding sources where applicable and opportunities and constraints for the Town to consider for each program. The matrix may not be fully inclusive of programs in Eagle County and it is encouraged that Town do additional research on local availability of other programs (e.g., through local non - profits, Eagle County Housing Department etc,). At a minimum, we recommend that the Town consider the following: Permanently Affordable Ownership Units. We recommend any affordable units created be "permanently affordable" particularly in light of recent surges in housing prices, the Gondola development and other projects that will increase the "ski- side" attractiveness of Avon to oAof- -area buyers and result in continued escalation of prices beyond local affordability and the limited land capacity in the Avon area for housing development. The advantage to this product is that it offers units at below market prices for income - qualified (and often employment-qualified) buyers, allowing them to purchase homes that would not normally be available to them in the free - market. The trade -off is that appreciation of these homes is limited to ensure permanent affordability upon turnover of the unit to a new qualified buyer, thereby creating a supply of permanently affordable ownership units in the Town. Units produced as permanently affordable should, therefore, target price points not available on the free market in Avon, which generally includes ownership units suitable for year -round occupancy for locals (singles, couples, families and seniors) priced under about $350,000 to $400,000. In line with permanently affordable units, it is recommended that the Town adopt and implement standard deed - restriction language that will maintain affordability of units over time, By using consistent language and requirements, this will simplify implementation and management of the deed restrictions as well as improve public understanding of the program (e.g. if different units have different qualification steps and requirements, this can be difficult and frustrating for the public and add to confusion over the program). • Zoning. Evaluate areas where higher densities would be appropriate. This would include areas that could support multi - family and /or small lot single - family housing. Consider mixed -use zoning that would support both residential and non - residential development. Consider PUD ordinances that allow flexibility in densities and lot requirements (lot size, setbacks, etc.), particularly for developments proposing some locally affordable units. Consider regulations that require contributions to (or development of) affordable housing as a component of the development (inclusionary zoning, impact fees, commercial linkage, etc.). The mitigation rates and program requirements of inclusionary zoning and commercial linkage will vary depending upon Town goals for meeting housing needs, target price points for housing, the development capacity of the Town (e.g., new subdivisions or primarily redevelopment and changes of use) and Town goals with respect to "balancing" commercial and residential development. • Land Banking: Identify key sites for future housing development that are either currently publicly owned or that could /should be purchased for future housing development. Develop workable designs for future housing projects on these properties when needed. This approach permits incorporation of affordable housing into community development plans, but often requires continued public education about intended development plans and uses for sites. Land banking works well in combination with partnership opportunities to provide housing. • Partnerships. Encourage public /private partnerships as a means to achieve identified housing goals. Through such partnerships, housing that is more affordable can be achieved with enhanced financing options, assuring that a portion of the housing that is created will be affordable and provided to residents of Avon. In other words, units can be introduced into the area that will retain affordability over time without on -going financial resources. RRC Associates, Inc. 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Town of Avon For the Town of Avon, an evaluation of the Census information revealed the following: • Season aVrecreational use of homes in 1999 was about 21 percent in Avon, in comparison with Eagle County at 27 percent and the State at 48 percent. Overall, about 74 percent of units in Avon were occupied by residents. A lower 69 percent of units in Eagle County were occupied by residents. • At the time of the Census, 47 percent of homes occupied as primary residences were owner - occupied, in comparison to Eagle County at 63 percent. Owners have slightly larger households (2.6 average household size) compared to renters (2.4 persons). Not surprisingly, most owner- occupied homes in Avon were occupied by families (58 percent). In the US Census, families are defined as a householder living with one or more people related to him or her by birth, marriage, or adoption. A relatively high percentage of renter occupied homes (46 percent) are also occupied by families. • As of the 2000 Census, roughly 83 percent of homes in Avon were multi - family units (condominiums, townhomes, apartments and dup /trkplexes). Only about 9 percent of the homes were single - family detached structures. Another 8 percent of units were comprised of mobile /manufactured homes. • Avon is a relatively new community. Residential development originally took off in the 1970s (14 percent of homes). Development in Avon continued to grow between 1980 and 1994. Roughly 56 percent of homes were built during this time and an estimated 29 percent of homes have been built between 1995 and 2000: • Turnover in Avon at the time of the 2000 Census was high, with 43 percent of residents noting they had moved into their current residence in the 15 months preceding the 2000 Census. Eagle County, in comparison, had 30 percent move -in during this time period. Due to the timing of the US Census (April 2000), it is expected the high turnover is partially due to seasonal workforce conditions. • Renters in Avon have a slightly lower percentage (20 percent) of single - person households than owners (23 percent). Eagle County, in contrast, has a slightly higher percentage of renter households with single occupancy (25 percent) than owner households (19 percent). • About 15.5 percent of households were overcrowded in Avon as of the Census (defined as having 1.01 persons or more per room). This includes 22.6 percent of renter households and 8.2 percent of owner households. Overcrowding may be slightly inflated due to seasonal workforce conditions. • At the time of the Census, the largest householder age group in Avon was 25 to 34 yrs (36 percent), followed by 35 to 44 yrs (26 percent). A small percentage of households (2.6 percent) were headed by seniors (age 65 +). This is low compared to Eagle County (53 percent) and the State (16 percent). • The median income of owners in 1999($73,015) was almost twice that of renters ($37,569). Renters were much more likely to pay 30 percent or more of their income for housing (48 percent) than owners (28 percent). Cost burden is generally a growing problem, as the number of households paying more than 30 RRC Associates, Inc Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Community Highlights Avon, CO - Pop. 5,561 Housing Unit Estimates and Physical Characteristics UselTenure * Percent of occupied units, not total units Occupancy Vacant Owner 261X - occupied 35% Renter occupied 39% Overcrowding/Occupants per Room Owners Renters Total % Total # 899 936 100% 1.00 or less 91.8% 77.4% 84.5% 1.01 to 1.50 3.9% 9.0% 6.5% 1.51 or more 4.3% 13.6% 9.0% % of Households 8.2% 22.6% 15.5% Overcrowded Kitchen and Plumbing Facilities- Occupied Units Complete Kitchen 1,835 100.0% Complete Plumbing 1,826 99.5% Incomplete Kitchen 0 0.0% Incomplete Plumbing 9 0.5% Substandard Units 9 0.5% Type of Heat - Occupied Units Utility gas 905 49.3% Bottled, tank, or LP gas 11 0.6% Electricity 883 48.1% Wood 15 0.8% Other fuel /none 21 1.1% RRC Associates, Inc. Type of Structure Housing Units 2,557 100.0% Occupied as primary home 1,890 73.9% Owner occupied 894 47.3% Renter occupied 996 52.7% Vacant 667 26.1% Seasonal /recreational use 523 20.5% * Percent of occupied units, not total units Occupancy Vacant Owner 261X - occupied 35% Renter occupied 39% Overcrowding/Occupants per Room Owners Renters Total % Total # 899 936 100% 1.00 or less 91.8% 77.4% 84.5% 1.01 to 1.50 3.9% 9.0% 6.5% 1.51 or more 4.3% 13.6% 9.0% % of Households 8.2% 22.6% 15.5% Overcrowded Kitchen and Plumbing Facilities- Occupied Units Complete Kitchen 1,835 100.0% Complete Plumbing 1,826 99.5% Incomplete Kitchen 0 0.0% Incomplete Plumbing 9 0.5% Substandard Units 9 0.5% Type of Heat - Occupied Units Utility gas 905 49.3% Bottled, tank, or LP gas 11 0.6% Electricity 883 48.1% Wood 15 0.8% Other fuel /none 21 1.1% RRC Associates, Inc. Type of Structure Single - Family 219 8.6% Multi- Family 2,109 83.1% Mobile Homes 209 8.2% Units in Structure 69 3.8% 1970-1979 9 0.5% 1 -unit, detached 219 8.6% 1 -unit, attached 438 17.3% 2 units 21 0.8% 3 or 4 units 90 3.5% 5 to 9 units 373 14.7% 10 to 19 units 466 18.4% 20 or more units 721 28.4% Mobile home 209 8.2% Boat, RV, van, etc. 0 0.0% Year Structure Built 1999 to March 2000 240 9.5% 1995 to 1998 499 19.7% 1990 to 1994 678 26.7% 1980 to 1989 742 29.2% 1970 to 1979 355 14.0% 1960 to 1969 14 0.6% 1940 to 1959 0 0.0% 1939 or earlier 9 0.4% Built since 1990 1,417 55.9% Year Moved Into Current Residence 1999 to March 2000 793 43.2% 1995 to 1998 693 37.8% 1990 to 1994 271 14.8% 1980 to 1989 69 3.8% 1970-1979 9 0.5% 1969 or earlier 0 0.0% Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Income, Housing Costs and Affordability 9999 Median Incomes 2006 Median Family Income - Eaale Countv (HUD Median in 1999 Household Income $56,921 Owner Households $73,015 Renter Households $37,569 Family Income $52,339 Per Capita Income $30,115 2006 Median Family Income - Eaale Countv (HUD Change - Median Family Income, 1999 -2006 (HUD) 1999 2006 % Change $65,333 $80,000 24.4% Income Distribution 50% 80 %- 100% 1 person $280,000 $41,700 $56,000 2 person $32,000 $47,700 $64,000 3 person $36,000 $53,650 $72,000 4 person $40,000 $59,600 $80,000 5 person $43,150 $64,350 $86,333 6 person $46,350 $69,150 $92,833 Change - Median Family Income, 1999 -2006 (HUD) 1999 2006 % Change $65,333 $80,000 24.4% Income Distribution $150,000 or more 154 0 154 8.4% Percent of Income Spent on Housin Owners Renter Total % Less than $5,000 0 9 9 0.5% $5,000 to $9,999 9 33 42 2.3% $10,000 to $14,999 21 48 69 3.8% $15,000 to $19,999 0 60 60 3.3% $20,000 to $24,999 19 86 105 5.7% $25,000 to $34,999 56 174 230 12.5% $35,000 to $49,999 95 177 272 14.8% $50,000 to $74,999 263 195 458 25.0% $75,000 to $99,999 131 89 220 12.0% $100,000 - $149,999 151 65 216 11.8% $150,000 or more 154 0 154 8.4% Percent of Income Spent on Housin 30 to 34% 18 111 129 35 +% Owners Renters 338 Total <15% 114 105 219 15 to 19% 61 76 137 20 to 24% 26 153 179 25 to 29% 62 99 161 30 to 34% 18 111 129 35 +% 85 338 423 Not computed 0 54 54 % Cost Burdened 28.1% 48.0% 42.4% # Cost Burdened 103 449 552 Median Housina Prices/Costs Gross Rent # 2000 Value - Owner Occupied (SF) 0 $373,000 Value - Owner Occupied (all) 9 $230,200 Mortgage 52 $2,037 Gross Rent 137 $980 Contract Rent 268 $954 Value of Owner - Occupied Units 317 33.9% $1,500 or more SF # SF % Less than $50,000 0 0.0% $50,000 to $99,999 10 2.7% $100,000 to $149,999 7 1.9% $150,000 to $199,999 0 0.0% $200,000 to $299,999 47 12.8% $300,000 to $499,999 219 59.8% $500,000 to $999,999 83 22.7% $1,000,000 or more 0 0.0% Mortgage Amount SF # SF % Less than $300 0 0..0% $300 to $499 0 0.0% $500 to $699 0 0.0% $700 to $999 17 4.6% $1,000 to $1,499 80 21.9% $1,500 to $1,999 67 18.3% $2,000 or more 184 50.3% With a mortgage 348 95.1% Not mortgaged 18 4.9% Gross Rent RRC Associates, Inc. 24 # % Less than $200 0 0.0% $200 to $299 9 1.0% $300 to $499 52 5.6% $500 to $749 137 14.6% $750 to $999 268 28.6% $1,000 to $1,499 317 33.9% $1,500 or more 108 11.5% No cash rent 45 4.8% RRC Associates, Inc. 24 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 SECTION 2 — POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD PROJECTIONS This section evaluates population and household growth, household area median income (AMI) and households with housing problems. The section includes a discussion on the housing continuum and affordability levels for Avon residents. Population Estimates The Department of Local Affairs projects that the population in Eagle County will increase by about 34 percent between 2005 and 2015, or just under 3 percent per year on average. According to the US Census Bureau, as of April 2000, there were 5,561 people living in Avon, making up 13.3 percent of Eagle County's total population. In 2005, it is estimated that about 14 percent of the population in Eagle County resided in Avon, based on a comparison of Department of Local Affairs population estimates for the county and town. Assuming this ratio remains consistent and Avon's population increases at a similar rate to Eagle County's, it is estimated that 7,220 residents reside in Avon in 2006, increasing to 8,256 by 2010 and 9,430 by 2015. Eaale County and Avon Population: 2000 to 2015 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 Eagle County 41,659 100.0% 49,373 100.0% 50,618 57,881 66,113 Avon 5,561 13.3% 7,042 14.3% 7,220 8,256 9,430 Source: 2000 US Census; Department of Local Affairs; RRC Associates, Inc Housing Unit Estimates Between 1990 and 2000, housing units in Avon increased about 90 percent compared to a 45 percent increase in the county as a whole. Between 2000 and 2005, it is estimated that housing unit growth in Avon and Eagle County occurred at slightly more similar rates (37 and 27 percent, respectively). Assuming housing unit growth rates are similar to the County through 2015 (17.2 percent), it is estimated that the number of total housing units will increase from 3,583 in 2006 to 4,098 in 2010 and 4,680 by 20153. Eaale Countv and Avon Chanae in Housina Units: 1990 to 2015 % Change % Change % Change 1990 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 (1990 -2000) (2000 -2005) (2005.2010) Eagle County 15,226 22,111 28,169 28,879 33,023 37,719 45.2% 27.4% 17.2% Avon 1,344 2,557 3,495 3,583 4,098 4,680 90.3% 36.7% 17.2% Source: Department of Local Affairs; RRC Associates, Inc 3 If Avon were to continue to grow at a relational ly faster rate than Eagle County, about 23 percent between 2005 and 2010, there would be 4,302 households in 2010 as opposed to 4,098. Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 less than 80 percent AMI, 30 percent earn between 80 and 120 percent AMI and 33 percent earn over 120 percent AMI. The AMI distribution of households in Avon varies by tenure, where renters are more likely than owners to earn less than 80 percent AMI (57 percent of renters and 17 percent of owners). Income Distribution Of Avon Households By Tenure: 2000 Census (update to 2006) Estimates Renters Owners Total < =30% 219 16.7% 26 2.2% 245 9.9% 30 -50% 269 20.5% 72 6.1% 341 13.7% 50 -60% 92 7.0% 33 2.8% 125 5.0% 60 -80% 163 12.4% 66 5.6% 228 9.2% 80 -100% 205 15.6% 178 15.1% 383 15.4% 100 -120% 161 12.3% 197 16.8% 359 14.4% 120 - 140% 57 4.3% 92 7.8% 149 6.0% 140 %+ 148 11.3% 513 43.6% 662 26.6% TOTAL 1,313 100% 1,178 100% 2,491 100% Source: U.S. Census Bureau; CHAS; Colorado Department of Local Affairs; RRC Associates, Inc Households with "Housing Problems" As noted in the "Population and Demographics" section, about 42 percent of households in Avon were cost-burdened (paid over 30 percent of their household income for rent/mortgage) in 2000, including 28 percent of owners and 48 percent of renters. The 2000 US Census CHAS (Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy) tabulations report households with "housing problems" by household area median income (AMI) levels. "Housing problems" are defined as households that are lacking complete plumbing or kitchen facilities, with 1.01 or more persons per room (i.e., overcrowded) and /or cos burdened (paying more than 30 percent of household income for rent/mortgage). About 44 percent of households reported having housing problems, including 33 percent of owners and 55 percent of renters. Evaluated by AMI range, the data shows that: • About 67 percent of renter households in Avon earning below 80 percent AMI reported housing problems. This AMI category represents the primary income range for rental unit demand. About 84 percent of renter households earning less than 60 percent AMI also reported housing problems. About 35 percent of owner households earning between 60 and 140 percent of the AMI reported housing problems, with those earning between 60 and 80 percent of the AMI and 120 to 140 percent of the AMI reporting the most problems (60 and 57 percent with housing problems, respectively). Owner housing programs often target households earning between 60 and 120 percent of the AMI, and potentially higher, depending on the needs in the community, where this income range includes entry-level buyers and some move -up buyers. • Many of the higher income owner households (those earning over 140 percent AMI) may be cost - burdened by choice, where higher incomes are generally (though not always) more able to afford to pay over 30 percent of their income for housing without sacrificing other needs (food, clothing, medical, etc.). Only 5 percent of owners reported having housing problems in this higher income range. Also, lower income owner RRC Associates, Inc. 28 Town of Avon Housinq Needs Assessment 2006 $53,651- $86,400 Middle Income 80 -120% AMI $36,001- $53,650 742HH129.8 %HH Low Income AMI ° 100% 110% 80 /o AMI AMI 353HH114.2 %HH AMI 120% AMI $21,601 - $36,000 50% AMI Very Low Income 30.50% AMI 341 HH /13.7 %HH 30% AMI Restricted $0$21,600 Under 3011. 0 -30'1 AMI Emergency/ 245HH19.9 %HH Subsidized First Time Entry Home Level Market Buyers Market Rentals Housin< it V61109111 1` Broad Renter Market Step Up Market Over $86,401 Above Middle Income +120% AMI 811 HH /32.6 %HH High End Market 180% AMI Source: 2000 US Census (CHAS); The Housing Collaborative, LLC; RRC Associates, Inc. *Incomes are presented for a 3- person household in Avon. The following chart demonstrates the distribution of Avon households by AMI range. The largest percentage of households in Avon earn over 120 percent of the AMI and would be likely candidates for step -up and move -up housing (32.6 percent, income over $86,400) with 29.8 percent earning between 80 and 120 percent AMI (max income $86,400) and 14.2 percent in the 50 to 80 percent AMI category (max income $53,650). About 13.7 percent earn between 50 and 80 percent AMI (max income $36,000) with an additional 9.9 percent earning less than 30 percent AMI (maximum income of $21,600). Percent of Avon Households by AMI Range: 2006 32.6 °fe Over 120% AMI Over $86,400 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80 % 90% 100% Source: 2000 US Census (CHAS); RRC Associates, Inc. The following table calculates the maximum affordable purchase price and the maximum affordable rent by AMI range for Avon households. There are very few owner households making less than 80 percent AMI (16.7 percent) in Avon. Households in this range are more likely to rent than to own. A larger percent of owners (31.8 percent) are in the first time homebuyer and entry level housing market (80 to 120 percent AMI). The maximum affordable purchase price for these households is $227,823 (100 percent AMI) and $273,388 (120 percent AMI). The largest percentage of owner households in Avon (51.4 percent) make over 120 percent of the AMI. These households can afford to purchase units over $273,388. RRC Associates, Inc . 30 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 SECTION 3 — EMPLOYMENT AND COMMUTING This section evaluates job growth, employment, wages paid, seasonality in employment and commuting patterns to understand the quantity and type of employee housing needed to support the local economy, Number of Jobs Estimates from the Colorado Department of Local Affairs (DOLA) and the Economic Census Zip Code Business Patterns were used to estimate total jobs in the Town of Avon. Based on the Economic Census in 2004, Avon had about 29,2 percent of all jobs in Eagle County. This shows a slight increase since 2000, when Avon had about 26.1 percent of all Eagle County jobs. Assuming Avon maintains 29.2 percent of Eagle County jobs through 2010, it is estimated that jobs in Avon will increase about 14 percent between 2006 (11,768 jobs) and 2010 (13,463 jobs). Yearly Average Total Jobs; Eagle County and Avon 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 Eagle County 34,505 39,390 40,358 46,173 52,043 Avon 8,990 11,485 11,768 13,463 15,175 % of Eagle County jobs that are in Avon* 26.1 % 29.2% 29.2% 29.2% 29.2% Source: Colorado Department of Local Affairs (DOLA); US Census Bureau ZIP Code Business Patterns; RRC Associates, Inc. *Percentage of jobs in Avon are estimated from US Census Bureau ZIP Code Business Patterns in 2000 through 2004. Avon had 29.2 percent of the jobs in Eagle County in 2004— assumed to remain consistent through 2010 in the table. Jobs by Industry The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) reports that the average number of jobs in Eagle County between October 2003 and March 2004 was 27,211, with 8,161 being in Avon, This number is lower than the DOLA estimate because it includes workers covered by unemployment insurance and, therefore, does not generally include self proprietors and many agricultural laborers. However, QCEW provides useful estimates for the types of industries that supply jobs in a region. Based on this data, the largest percentage of jobs in Avon are in the arts, entertainment and recreation industry (36.6 percent), followed by accommodation and food services (19.5 percent), retail trade (12.8 percent) and construction (77 percent) — indicative of the tourism economy in the area. The three lowest categories are health care and social assistance (1.1 percent), finance and insurance (2.3 percent) and administrative and waste services (2.6 percent). Jobs in Eagle County, in comparison, are primarily in accommodation and food services (24.7 percent), construction (13.0 percent), arts, entertainment and recreation (12.7 percent) and retail trade (10.0 percent). RRC Associates, Inc. 32 Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Eaale Countv Averaae Waae by Industrv: 2005 Health Care & Social Assistance Average Yearly Wage EAGLE COUNTY OVERALL $36,427 Mgt. Of Companies & Enterprises $102,423 Finance & Insurance $60,181 Professional & Technical Services $59,723 Utilities $58,095 Wholesale Trade $52,587 Health Care & Social Assistance $50,147 Mining $42,662 Construction $42,411 Real Estate Manufacturing $41,940 $41,698 Information $41,476 Arts, Entertainment and Recreation $37,711 Educational Services $31,470 Transportation & Warehousing $30,611 Retail Trade $30,208 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting $28,766 Other Services $28,546 Administrative & Waste Services $28,401 Accommodation & Food Services $22,747 Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), Colorado Department of Labor and Employment; Sorted in descending order of average wage paid in Eagle County. QCEW wage estimates show that, in 2001, Avon workers earned slightly less than those in the county as a whole. However, average wages in Avon during the fourth quarter of 2003 and first quarter of 2004 were about 8 percent higher than the county average ($39;086 vs. $36,075, respectively). Wages per worker increased about 15 percent between 2001 and 2005 in Eagle County, averaging about $36,427 in 2005. Average Annual Wage per Worker; Eagle Coun 2001 2002 2003 04 and 2005 % Change 2004 Q1 (2001.2005) Eagle County $31,583 $32,102 $36,075 $36,427 15.4% Avon $27,698 - $39,086 - Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages; RRC Associates, Inc Employees per Household and Jobs per Employee Employees often live together in family and unrelated roommate households, meaning that there is often more than one employee per residence. The number of employees per household was estimated from the 2000 US Census by dividing the number of households reporting earnings in Avon by the number of employed persons that are in households. This information is necessary when translating the number of employees into the number of households needed to house the workforce. Avon, as of the 2000 Census, had 1.85 workers per household. Additionally, according to DOLA, each employee in Eagle County holds about 1.2 jobs on average in 2006. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Eaale Countv Estimated Winter Seasonal Emplovment: 2001 to 2005 Source: Colorado Department of Labor and Employment (QCEW); RRC Associates, Inc Commuting Patterns The US Census provides place to place worker flows, estimating where workers live and where residents work by place of residence and employment, This information is useful in understanding employee and resident commute and living patterns. Where Workers Live: According to the 2000 US Census, about 88 percent of persons employed in Avon live in Eagle County. This includes 29 percent that live in Avon, 19 percent in Edwards, 11 percent in Eagle -Vail, and 6.5 percent in Vail. In total, about 71 percent of persons employed in Avon come from an outside community (in- commuters), or about 3,076 workers in 2000. About 12 percent report living outside of Eagle County (506 employees in 2000), including about 2.8 percent of workers living in Garfield County. Employer interviews indicate that the percentage of workers coming from Garfield County has decreased since the 2000 Census, with significant changes noted within the past six months. Where Avon Residents Work: About 96 percent of employed residents of Avon work in Eagle County, with 40 percent working in Avon, 24 percent in Vail, 7.3 percent in Edwards and 5 percent in Eagle-Vail. In total, 60 percent of workers living in Avon do not work in Avon (about 2,055 residents in 2000). About 3 percent report working outside of Eagle County (about 130 residents in 2000), including about 0.6 percent in Garfield County. Where Avon Workers Live: 2000 Where Avon Residents Work: 2000 Place of Residence Average Year -Round Average Winter Avon 1,240 Employment Employment Estimated Winter Year (May and Oct.) (Dec. through Mar.) Seasonal Jobs 2005 26,345 30,937 4,592 2004 24,964 29,394 4,430 2003 24,235 29,336 5,101 2002 24,713 29,476 4,763 2001 25,570 31,085 5,516 Source: Colorado Department of Labor and Employment (QCEW); RRC Associates, Inc Commuting Patterns The US Census provides place to place worker flows, estimating where workers live and where residents work by place of residence and employment, This information is useful in understanding employee and resident commute and living patterns. Where Workers Live: According to the 2000 US Census, about 88 percent of persons employed in Avon live in Eagle County. This includes 29 percent that live in Avon, 19 percent in Edwards, 11 percent in Eagle -Vail, and 6.5 percent in Vail. In total, about 71 percent of persons employed in Avon come from an outside community (in- commuters), or about 3,076 workers in 2000. About 12 percent report living outside of Eagle County (506 employees in 2000), including about 2.8 percent of workers living in Garfield County. Employer interviews indicate that the percentage of workers coming from Garfield County has decreased since the 2000 Census, with significant changes noted within the past six months. Where Avon Residents Work: About 96 percent of employed residents of Avon work in Eagle County, with 40 percent working in Avon, 24 percent in Vail, 7.3 percent in Edwards and 5 percent in Eagle-Vail. In total, 60 percent of workers living in Avon do not work in Avon (about 2,055 residents in 2000). About 3 percent report working outside of Eagle County (about 130 residents in 2000), including about 0.6 percent in Garfield County. Where Avon Workers Live: 2000 Where Avon Residents Work: 2000 Place of Residence # % Avon 1,240 28.6°%0 Edwards 800 18.5% Eagle-Vail 465 10.7% Vail 260 6.5% Gypsum 260 6.0% Eagle 185 4.3% El Jebel 20 0.5% Other Eagle County 580 13.4% Lake County 137 12% Garfield County 120 2.8% Summit County 19 0.4° %0 Other Colorado 230 5.3% Total 4,336 100.0°10 Associates, Inc. Place of Work - # % Avon 1,240 37.6% Vail 775 23.5% Edwards 240 7.3% Eagle -Vail 155 4.7% Eagle 105 3.2% Gypsum 70 2.1 Basalt 45 1.4% El Jebel 25 0.8% Other Eagle County 510 15.5% Summit County 40 1.2% Garfield County 20 0.6% Other Colorado 70 2.1% Total" 3,295 100.0% Source: 2000 US Census Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 teachers would help. Retailers, restaurant and lodging businesses also noted a need for units that could accommodate non - related roommates. — First-time homeownership opportunities to keep employees. It was noted that Miller Ranch was a successful and much needed project. A couple employers offered examples of new hires (one an engineer and one a co- manager) that owned homes in their previous communities and, upon moving to Avon, had difficulty locating housing to rent. Despite earning in excess of $60,000 per year, neither can find homes to purchase that they can afford. This was also noted by the school district to be a problem in retaining employees over time and they indicated that about 75 percent of their turnover last year was due to employees moving out of the valley to purchase homes. They find that they can attract young teachers out of college given the "glamorous" location, but when they decide to start a family, they often move out of the valley to afford a home. Along similar lines, more expensive, move -up housing affordable for higher paid positions, new recruits that owned homes in their previous communities so have some equity to apply toward a home and growing families (e.g., need more than a 600 square foot condominium) are also needed to retain employees. Realtor interviews and current listings for sale on the MLS indicate a large shortage of homes priced under $500,000 in the Town of Avon that would meet the needs of these households. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Age of Units The age of units can be a factor in the suitability of housing for residents. As demonstrated in the table below, the majority of structures (91.5 percent) in Avon were built between 1980 and the present. Only about 7.2 percent of existing units were built prior to 1980 (over 27 years ago). Year Structures Built in Avon Year Built TOTAL Units Total % Before 1970 2 0.1% 1970 to 1979 210 7.1% 1980 to 1989 1,286 43.6% 1990 to 1999 924 31.8% 2000 or later 408 13.8% Unknown 118 4.0% Total 2,948 100% Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (October 2006) Ownership of Units The percent of Avon units owned by persons with a local Town of Avon address has remained about the same (44 percent) between 2001 and 2006. During the same time period, owners from other areas of Eagle County increased from 17 percent (2001) to 18 percent (2006) and owners from other areas of Colorado increased significantly, from about 2 percent (2001) to 9 percent (2006). This is consistent with realtor interviews, which indicate there is increasing interest by Front Range residents in purchasing weekend ski units in Avon. Correspondingly, the percentage of owners with addresses in other states or countries decreased, from 37 percent to 28 percent. 5M% 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Ownership of Residential Units: 2001 and 2006 Avon Other Eagle Other Other County Colorado State /Country Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (2001 and 2006) As shown on the following chart, ownership of units by locals varies by type of unit. About 76 percent of mobile /manufactured homes are owned by individuals with an Avon address. Over 50 percent of townhomes, single family homes and condominiums are owned by ouW- -area owners. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 in this value range are sized between 220 square feet and 550 square feet with either zero or one - bedroom. Two Mountain Vista employee housing units have two-bedrooms. • Entry-level ownership homes (80 to 120 percent AMI), between about $100,000 and $200,000, comprise about 27.1 percent of units. These include condominiums and some townhomes. Move -up housing (over 120 percent AMI) priced between about $200,000 and $350,000 comprise about 30.2 percent of existing units in Avon, These are primarily condominiums and townhomes, with a few (about 60) single - family homes. Of the single family residences valued between $200,000 and $299,999, only 44 percent are stand alone structures. The median square foot of single family units in this price category ranges from 1,154 square feet to 1,556 square feet, with an average of three bedrooms. All of the units were constructed prior to 1999, The remaining 19.3 percent of units are valued over $350,000. These higher priced units are primarily single - family homes. Owned Units by Value: Avon 2006 Mobile Single Value Condominium home Family Townhome Total % Total # Under $50,000 0.4% 70.6% 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 116 $50K to $99,999 16.6% 29.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 370 $100K to $149,999 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 8.6% 240 $150K to $199,999 26.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.5% 519 $200K to $249,999 18.9% 0.0% 1.1% 9.3% 14.0% 392 $250K to $299,999 12.5% 0.0% 4.0% 13.6% 10.3% 289 $300K to $349,999 4.7% 0.0% 6.3% 23.5% 5.9% 164 $350K to $399,999 4.2% 0.0% 10.5% 18.5% 6.0% 168 $400K to $499,999 3.7% 0.0% 18.9% 17.3% 7.1% 200 $500K to $649,999 0.9% 0.0% 23.6% 7.4% 5.5% 154 $650K to $799,999 0.1% 0.0% 12.0% 0.0% 2.3% 65 $800K or more 0.0% 0.0% 23.6% 0.0% 4.4% 124 TOTAL 1,961 153 525 162 2,801 2,801 Median Value $171,170 $42,470 $545,380 $341,120 $218,100 - Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (2006) Deed Restricted Housing The Town of Avon, as of October, 21, 2005, reports a total of 63 deed restricted ownership units in seven different developments, including a total of 17 townhomes and 46 condominiums. The units were constructed between 1991 and 2001. The majority (15 total) of Mountain Vista Condominiums are still owned by The Sheraton and rented to employees of Avon or Eagle County earning 80 percent or less of the AMI with rents not exceeding 33 percent of household income. Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Rentals by Type of Unit: 2000 50 or more Units 1 ,40i 20 to 49 Units 15% Market Rate Rents Mobile /Manufactured 1 Attached or Home Detached 4% 9% 2 to 4 Units Source: 2000 US Census 5 to is units 52% Based on survey responses to the "Colorado Division of Housing Multi Family Vacancy and Rental Survey ", (Colorado Division of Housing), rents in Eagle County have increased about 7.9 percent over the past five years. Rents during the first quarter (January through March) are lower than third quarter rents (July through September) between 2003 and 2005 and follows the general slowing rental market trend in Colorado at that time. Average Rent, 2001 to 2006: Eagle Count Quarter 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % change (2001— 2006) First-quarter $1,000.70 $984.66 $982.62 $1,018.35 $1,051.90 $1,079.78 7.9% Third - quarter $984.34 $968.98 $1,009.64 $1,033.49 $1,074.66 - - Source: 'Colorado Division of Housing Multi- Family Vacancy and Rental Survey," Colorado Division of Housing Average rents for multi - family properties vary by size. As of the first quarter of 2006, market-rate rents in Eagle County range from about $570 ($1.90 per square foot) for 1- bedroom units to $1,074 ($1.43 per square foot) for 2- bedroom /2 -bath units. Average Rent by Unit Type, First Quarter 2006: Eagle County Apartment Type Average Rent Average Rent per Square Foot Efficiency $569.57 $1.90 1- bedroom $855.56 $1.42 2- bedroomi1 -bath $1,079.99 $1.43 2- bedroom /2 -bath $1,073.94 $1.26 3- bedroom $1,220.18 $1.24 All Units $1,079.78 $1.42 Source: Colorado Division of Housing "Multi- family Housing Vacancy and Rental Survey Information on Avon market rate rentals at Buffalo Ridge ll, Eagle Bend FIII, and Kayak Crossing was gathered through interviews. All three apartment complexes offer 12 month leases only. Current market-rate rent for these properties varies from $870 to $975 for a 1- bedroom unit, up to $1,525 for a 3- bedroom unit. Rents per square foot are higher than those in Eagle County as a whole. One bedrooms range from $1.53 at Eagle Bend, HII to $1.64 at Buffalo Ridge II. RRC Associates, Inc . Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Income and Employee Restricted Rentals Buffalo Ridge II offers income restricted, section 42, housing. Their section 42 rates vary from $615 ($1.67 per square foot) for a 1- bedroom to $1,025 ($1.15 per square foot) for a 2- bedroom /1 -bath unit. River View Apartments has a total of 72 income restricted units, ranging from $1.42 to $1,48 per square foot. These units have a waiting list for occupancy, from six months to two years. City Market has 18 employee- restricted one - bedroom units for $725 per month. Income and Emolovee Restricted Rentals: Avon In addition to the above, the Town of Avon also noted that they have 13 rooms available to bus drivers, at a cost of about $450 to $550 per month per person, Rooms are in three - bedroom configurations with a total rent of $1,150 to $1,350 per unit. Pending Income and Employee Restricted Units Currently, Avon has a total of 63 deed - restricted ownership units (15 of which are presently rented to employees) and 266 income- and employee- restricted rental units. Future additions to the program include the potential for 256 more units at The Village at Avon, 8 units at Lot B, 9 units on Lot 61 and the potential for another couple dozen units as both commercial and residential projects are redeveloped in the core areas of Town. RRC Associates, Inc. Buffalo Ridge Apartments Rentper Rent Square Foot River View Apartments Rentper Rent Square Foot City Market Rent Studio $615 $1.67 - - 1- bedroom $875 $1.47 - - $725 2- bedroom $1,025 $1.15 $1,190 $1.48 - 3- bedroom - - $1,390 $1.42 - TOTAL units 176 72 18 In addition to the above, the Town of Avon also noted that they have 13 rooms available to bus drivers, at a cost of about $450 to $550 per month per person, Rooms are in three - bedroom configurations with a total rent of $1,150 to $1,350 per unit. Pending Income and Employee Restricted Units Currently, Avon has a total of 63 deed - restricted ownership units (15 of which are presently rented to employees) and 266 income- and employee- restricted rental units. Future additions to the program include the potential for 256 more units at The Village at Avon, 8 units at Lot B, 9 units on Lot 61 and the potential for another couple dozen units as both commercial and residential projects are redeveloped in the core areas of Town. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housinq Needs Assessment 2006 All Residential Unit Sales, 2000 to 2006: Avon 30.0% 25.0% ® 2000 2003 02005/2006 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $500,000 $650,000 $800,000 Under to to to to to to to to to $100,000 $149,999 $199,999 $249,999 $299,999 $349,999 $399,999 $499,999 $649,999 $799,999 or more 02000 13.2% 12.8% 13.2% 15.8% 8.3% 6.4% 7.1% 9.0% 6.8% 1.5% 6.0% 02003 4.8% 10.8% 20.5% 25.7% 7.6% 8.0% 4.4% 5.6% 6.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0 2005/2006 3.0% 5.6% 1 4.3% 1 8.6% 1 12.1% 10.3% 1 8.2% 1 12.5% 1 15.5% 1 9.9% 1 9.9% Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (October 2006) The following chart shows the median sales price for all units over the last five years. Based on these figures: • The median sale price of marketpriced homes in Avon (including sales of single - family homes, townhomes, condominiums, mobile /manufactured homes and other multi - family homes) increased by 64 percent . between 2000 ($237,000 median) and 2005/2006 ($389,500). This includes a 48 percent increase in condominium median sale prices, a 66 percent increase in single - family home sale prices and a 72 percent increase in townhome sale prices, • The median sales price of townhomes spiked in 2001, from $300,000 to $405,000. A total of eight sales were recorded for townhomes during this time. Three of the sales were from the newly constructed "View Townhomes ", which were constructed in 2001. The average sales price of the three units was between $400,000 to $499,999. • The median price of single family home sales increased by 40 percent between 2001 and 2002. Of the sales in 2002, 38 percent were priced over $650,000 (19 sales). These sales were located in Wildridge, Mountain Star, Eagle Bend and Beaver Creek point subdivisions. New units, or first time sales, comprised 32 percent of the sales over $650,000. • The median price of single family home sales also spiked between 2004 and 2005, increasing by 47 percent. In 2005, 56 percent of single family home sales were priced over $650,000, and 43 percent of those sales were in the Wildridge and Mountain Star Subdivisions. • The median sale price of mobile /manufactured homes decreased by 62 percent between 2000 and 2005/06. However, it is important to note that there are very few mobile homes sales in each year (about 22 in 2000 Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housinq Needs Assessment 2006 Avon 2005106 Prooerty Sales by Purchase Price Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (October 2006) The median sale price per square foot offers more insight on actual increases in housing prices. The median sale price per square foot of all residences increased by about 74 percent in 2005/2006. Individually, the median per square foot sale price of condos increased -the most, 85.4 percent, with single family homes increasing by 62.3 percent and townhomes increasing by 43.0 percent. Median Sales Price per Spuare Foot: Avon 2000 to September 19, 2006 Condo Single - family Townhome Mobile home TOTAL Under $100K 1 - - 6 7 $100K to $149,999 9 - 4 - 13 $150K to $199,999 10 - - - 10 $200K to $249,999 19 1 - - 20 $250K to $299,999 28 - - - 28 $300K to $349,999 22 $209 2 - 24 $350K to $399,999 19 - - - 19 $400K to $499,999 20 2 7 - 29 $500K to $649,999 12 12 12 - 36 $650K to $799,999 6 12 5 - 23 $800K or more 1 22 - - 23 Total 147 49 30 6 210 Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (October 2006) The median sale price per square foot offers more insight on actual increases in housing prices. The median sale price per square foot of all residences increased by about 74 percent in 2005/2006. Individually, the median per square foot sale price of condos increased -the most, 85.4 percent, with single family homes increasing by 62.3 percent and townhomes increasing by 43.0 percent. Median Sales Price per Spuare Foot: Avon 2000 to September 19, 2006 Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (October 2006); RRC Associates, Inc. New and Existing Sales New unit sales are defined as housing units sold within one year of their construction, The price per square foot of sales for new construction varies from that of previously owned units. In 2000, the price per square foot for new units ($213 median) was 17 percent higher than for existing units ($182 median). This pattern continued to 2005 with the price per square foot of new units ($278 median) being higher than existing units ($261 median). Through the third quarter of 2006 this pattern changed with existing units ($325 median) costing more per square foot than new units ($271 median). The new sales recorded in 2006 (6 percent of total 2006 sales) consist of 5 townhomes and 4 single family homes, ranging in price from $200,000 to over $800,000. Associates, Inc . 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1200512006 % Change Single Family $178 $177 $185 $190 $211 $259 $290 62.7% Townhome $193 $169 $190 $200 $202 $236 $275 43.0% Condo $193 $191 $202 $206 $209 $272 $358 85.4% Median of All Units 1 $182 1 $185 1 $191 1 $203 1 $208 $266 $318 1 74.4% Source: Eagle County Assessor Data (October 2006); RRC Associates, Inc. New and Existing Sales New unit sales are defined as housing units sold within one year of their construction, The price per square foot of sales for new construction varies from that of previously owned units. In 2000, the price per square foot for new units ($213 median) was 17 percent higher than for existing units ($182 median). This pattern continued to 2005 with the price per square foot of new units ($278 median) being higher than existing units ($261 median). Through the third quarter of 2006 this pattern changed with existing units ($325 median) costing more per square foot than new units ($271 median). The new sales recorded in 2006 (6 percent of total 2006 sales) consist of 5 townhomes and 4 single family homes, ranging in price from $200,000 to over $800,000. Associates, Inc . Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Median Price of Homes vs. Median Family Income: 2001 to September 2006 Median Price Year of Sale (all sales) Median Family Income* (HUD - Eagle County) Median price as a % of median income 2000 $237,000 $68,100 348% 2001 $205,000 $70,500 291% 2002 $216,500 $74,900 289% 2003 $223,500 $73,600 304% 2004 $230,000 $76,700 300% 2005 $315,900 $79,950 395% 2006 to 9/19/06 $430,000 $80,000 538% % increase (2000 to 2006) 81.4% 17.5% - Source: Eagle County Assessor records; Department of Housing and Urban Development; RRC Associates, Inc. *Median Income reflects the 100% area median income (AMI) for a 4- person family household in Eagle County, or what is commonly referred to as the median family income for an area. Sales to Locals The following table indicates that the percentage of total units being purchased by local Avon owners has varied slightly between 2003 and 2006. This shows a decline in local purchasers of homes in 2005/06 compared to 2003. Percent of Sales to Avon Purchasers: 2003, 2005, 2006 (through September) Total Sales % Purchased by Avon Owners SepQ005 to SepQ006 146 39.7% 2005 290 37.0% 2003 249 44.2% Source: Eagle County Assessor Records; RRC Associates, Inc. The table below shows sales in Avon over the last year by AMI range. • Of the units sold in 2005/2006 that are priced affordable to households earning 80 percent or less of the AMI (below about $169,760), 46 percent were sold to local Avon residents. About 30 percent of Avon residents are in the first time homebuyer /entry level market housing range (80 to 120 percent AMI). These residents can afford to purchase a housing unit priced between about $169,761 and $227,8237. In 2005/2006, 97 percent of the units sold in this price range were condominiums. There is high competition for these units with Avon residents only purchasing 42 percent of available units. This corresponds with realtor interviews, which indicate there is increasing competition for first time homebuyers from Front Range second home purchasers. • Of units sold in price ranges affordable to households earning between 120 and 140 percent of the AMI (generally the move -up housing range), about 40 percent were sold to persons with a Town of Avon address. These are units priced between about $274,000 and $320,000. Affordable purchase price for an average 3- person household in Avon. Assumes 30 -year, 7 percent loan with 5 percent down, no more than 30 percent of household income paid toward housing payments and 20 percent of the housing payment goes toward HOA, insurance and PMI. Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 percent of the AMI (or priced over about $320,000). There are no units currently listed that would be affordable to a 3- person household making less than 80 percent of the AMI (37 percent of current households), Only 11 percent of the units sold in 2005/2006 were listed in that income range (6 mobile /manufactured homes, 16 condominiums and 4 townhomes). Affordable Purchase Price By AMI *: 2006 Maximum % Current # Current 2005106% 2005106 # Affordable Maximum Income Listings Listings Sales Sales AMI Range Purchase Price (3- person HH) (MLS) (MLS) (Assessor) (Assessor) 60% AMI or below $136,694 $43,200 0.0% 0 7.8% 18 61 to 80% AMI $169,760 $53,650 0.0% 0 3.4% 8 81 to 100% AMI $227,823 $72,000 3.5% 3 6.5% 15 101 to 120% AMI $273,388 $86,400 5.7% 5 9.9% 23 121 to 140% AMI $318,952 $100,800 5.7% 5 10.8% 25 Over 140% AMI Over $318,952 Over $100,800 85.1% 74 61.6% 143 Source: Department of Housing and Urban Development; Eagle County Assessor (September 2006); RRC Associates, Inc. *Assumes 5% down; 7% 30 -year loan; 20% of monthly payment for insurance, taxes, PMI, HOA; no more than 30% of income used for total housing payment. Comparing sales last year (9120/05 to 9/19/06) by residency of owner to current MLS listings (10/13/2006) shows that the distribution of units sold to owners with an Avon address are very similar to sales to owners with an out o�area address (other Eagle County, other Colorado or other state). In other words, competition across all price ranges among locals and out -of -area owners appears to be prevalent. Sales over the past year show a much higher percentage of units priced under about $320,000 (38 percent) than currently available on the market (15 percent). 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Avon Sales by Residency of Purchaser (200512006) vs. MLS (1011312006) by AMI Affordability Range 0 Less than 60% 60 to 80% AMI 80 to 100% AMI 100 to 120% AMI 120% to 140% Over 140% AMI AMI ($169,760) ($227,823) ($318,952) (Over $318,952) (Under ($273,388) $136,694) Source: Eagle County Assessor (2006); Department of Housing and Urban Development; RRC Associates, Inc. *Dollar figures in the legend represent the highest affordable purchase price for homes within each AMI range. Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 SECTION 6 - HOUSING NEED This section estimates housing units needed by residents, in- commuters to the town and new workers filling future jobs across different AMI ranges (based on 10 -year employment projections). A discussion of seasonal worker housing needs is also provided. This section provides estimates of housing needs for multiple segments of the population and workforce to understand how many housing units and at what price points future housing should be provided to meet local needs. Need is identified through catch -up needs (the number of housing units needed to address current deficiencies in housing— includes needs of residents and current in- commuters) and keep -up needs (the number of units needed to keep up with future demand for housing — based on future employment growth). Section 7 discusses the "gaps" in housing and compares total needs to units provided by the market to better understand where housing programs may need to be focused to meet resident and local worker needs. . Avon Residents With "Housing Problems" (Catch -Up) Catch -up housing is generally defined as the number of housing units needed to address current deficiencies in housing, whether from an affordability standpoint or from an availability standpoint. The 2000 US Census CHAS (Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy) tabulations reports households with housing problems by household area median income (AMI). Housing problems are defined as households that are lacking complete plumbing or kitchen facilities, with 1.01 or more persons per room (i.e. overcrowded) and/or cost burdened (paying more than 30 percent of household income for rent/mortgage). Residents and employees residing in substandard housing, overcrowded conditions or unaffordable units often leave their jobs and the community. It is important to note that constructing new units to serve Avon residents who are cost burdened causes the units occupied by cost burdened households to become available to address a catch -up or keep -up need from other residents, in- commuters or new employees. For this reason, existing housing problems can help define gaps in current town housing but do not necessarily reflect a numerical increase in units needed within the community. Renter Households: About 83.8 percent of renters earning less than 80 percent AMI report housing problems, totaling about 622 households. Those earning less than 60 percent of the AMI are particularly likely to report problems, accounting for 438 households. Another 82.6 percent of the households earning between 60.1 and 80 percent of the AMI also report housing problems, or about 135 households in 2006. Renters earning over 80 percent of the AMI are typically desiring to purchase homes so have not been included in the below table. Need From Renter Households With "Housing Problems "; Avon 2006 Source: DOLA; 2000 Census (CHAS); RRC Associates, Inc RRC Associates, Inc. Renter With "Housing With "Housing Households Problems" Problems" AMI Range # % # Total Households 1,313 55.3% 726 b Y �, ka _ m f3"2<. -� �`Y Y^�,✓F�� � Z� �,� ?�"` F � Ga� �u' '"r �",.h„ Total <=80% AMI 742 83.8% 622 Source: DOLA; 2000 Census (CHAS); RRC Associates, Inc RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 • Less than 80 percent AMI: About 37.7 percent of in- commuters that would move earn less than 80 percent AMI and would primarily be candidates for rental units (between 355 and 710 new households). A 3- person household earning in this range could pay up to $1,080 per month9 in rent. • 80 to 120 percent AMI As shown below, about 29.9 percent of in- commuter housing (between 281 and 561 new households) would be needed for entry -level buyer households. These units should be priced between about $170,000 and $274,000 for a 3- person household. • Over 120 percent AM About 32.6 percent of in- commuters that would move earn more than 120 percent AMI and would primarily be candidates for move up and high end housing (between 306 and 614 new households). These households could pay over about $274,000 for a home. AMI Distribution of In- Commuting Households That Would Move to Avon Source: Department of Housing and Urban Development; Department of Local Affairs; RRC Associates, Inc In- Commuter Needs by Tenure Catch -up needs from in- commuters can further be broken down into rental units and ownership units. The following estimates assume that the percentage of in- commuters that would prefer to own or rent in the Town of Avon is consistent with the current mix of Avon resident households (52.7 percent renters and 47.3 percent owners). The percentage of households expected to own or rent by AMI range varies based on the 2000 Census CHAS data estimates for Town of Avon households. Rentals: Assuming that the percentage of in- commuters that would rent within each AMI range is consistent with the current mix of households in the Town of Avon (52.7 percent of households in total), a total of between 496 and 992 rental units would be needed to fill in- commuter needs. About 37 percent of the units would need to serve the population making less than 50 percent AMI. An average 3- person household in this income range could afford up to $900 a month for rent. The median rent for a 3- bedroom unit in Avon is about $1,220, which would serve the 60 to 80 percent AMI income range (12.4 percent of the renter population). 9 Uses the average of a 3- person household income, assumes no more than 30 percent of household income is used for rent. RRC Associates, Inc. % Of In-Commuters 2006 (Total Units) 25% Would Move 2006 (Total Units) 50% Would Move <50% AAR 23.5% 221 443 50.1 to 60% AMI 5.0% 47 94 60.1 to 80% AMI 9.2% 86 173 80.1% -100% AMI 15.4% 145 289 100.1 % - 120% AMI 14.4% 135 271 120.1 % -140% AMI 6.0% 56 112 Over 140% AMI 26.6% 250 500 TOTAL 100.0% 941 1,882 Source: Department of Housing and Urban Development; Department of Local Affairs; RRC Associates, Inc In- Commuter Needs by Tenure Catch -up needs from in- commuters can further be broken down into rental units and ownership units. The following estimates assume that the percentage of in- commuters that would prefer to own or rent in the Town of Avon is consistent with the current mix of Avon resident households (52.7 percent renters and 47.3 percent owners). The percentage of households expected to own or rent by AMI range varies based on the 2000 Census CHAS data estimates for Town of Avon households. Rentals: Assuming that the percentage of in- commuters that would rent within each AMI range is consistent with the current mix of households in the Town of Avon (52.7 percent of households in total), a total of between 496 and 992 rental units would be needed to fill in- commuter needs. About 37 percent of the units would need to serve the population making less than 50 percent AMI. An average 3- person household in this income range could afford up to $900 a month for rent. The median rent for a 3- bedroom unit in Avon is about $1,220, which would serve the 60 to 80 percent AMI income range (12.4 percent of the renter population). 9 Uses the average of a 3- person household income, assumes no more than 30 percent of household income is used for rent. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Estimated Percentage of Workers that Would Live in Avon 2006 25% in- 50% in- commuters commuters Workers that currently 29% 2,844 live in Avon In- commuting workers 71% 6,962 In- commuters that would 1,740 3,481 live in Avon % Total workers that 47% 65% would live in Avon TOTAL employees 100% 9,806 # Total workers that 4,584 6,325 would live in Avon Source: Department of Local Affairs; 2006 Employee and Employer Surveys; RRC Associates, Inc. Based on estimated job growth, about 1,500 more employees will be needed to fill jobs in the Town of Avon between 2006 and 2010 and an additional 1,542 employees will be needed between 2010 and 2015. • If Avon wanted to maintain the current ratio of workers that live in town (29 percent), this would generate a need for an additional 435 new housing units by 2010 and an additional 447 between 2010 and 2015. • If Avon wanted to increase the current ratio of employees that live in Town to meet total demand from new employees that would prefer to live in Avon (between 47 to 65 percent of all employees), between 705 and 975 additional housing units would be needed by 2010 and an additional 724 to 1,002 housing units would be needed between 2010 and 2015. Estimated Housing Need Generated by Job Growth in Avon 2006, 2010 and 2015 Additional housing need (maintaining 29% of workers in Town) 435 447 Additional housing need (providing housing for 47% to 65% of workers that Live /Would live in Avon) 705 to 975 724 to 1,002 Source: Department of Local Affairs; 2000 US Census; RRC Associates, Inc The following table estimates the number of housing units that will be needed at different AMI affordability levels to serve new workers in 2010 and 2015. The table assumes new worker households follow a similar AMI profile as existing Avon households (based on 2000 Census CHAS data) and that 29 percent of the future workforce will be housed in Town (e.g., maintains the current ratio of workers that live in Avon). RRC Associates, Inc. 2006 2010 2015 Total jobs 11,768 13,463 15,175 Jobs per employee (average) 1.45 1.40 1.36 Total employees 8,116 9,616 11,158 2006 to 2010 2010 to 2015 Increase in employees 1,500 1,542 % of Employees that Currently live in Avon (2000) 29% 29% % of Total Employees that Live/Would Live in Avon (including 25% and 50% of in- commuters) 47% to 65% 47% to 65% Employees per household 1,85 1.85 Additional housing need (maintaining 29% of workers in Town) 435 447 Additional housing need (providing housing for 47% to 65% of workers that Live /Would live in Avon) 705 to 975 724 to 1,002 Source: Department of Local Affairs; 2000 US Census; RRC Associates, Inc The following table estimates the number of housing units that will be needed at different AMI affordability levels to serve new workers in 2010 and 2015. The table assumes new worker households follow a similar AMI profile as existing Avon households (based on 2000 Census CHAS data) and that 29 percent of the future workforce will be housed in Town (e.g., maintains the current ratio of workers that live in Avon). RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Keep -Up Rental Unit Needs: Growth in Jobs, 2010 and 2015 Maximum AMI range Income Range . affordable rent* Renter AMI distribution** 2010 (units) 2015 (units) 50% AMI or less $36,000 or Less $900 37.1% 85 87 50.1 -60% AMI $36,001 - $43,200 $1,080 7.0% 16 16 60.1 -80% AMI $43,201 - $53,650 $1,341 12.4% 28 29 80.1 -100% AMI $53,651 - $72,000 $1,800 15.6% 36 37 100.1 - 120 %AM1 $72,000 - $86,400 $2,160 12.3% 28 29 Over 120% AMI Over $86,400 Over $2,160 15,6% 36 37 TOTAL UNITS (29.0% of workers) * ** _ - - 229 236 *Assumes no more than 30 percent of household income is used for rent. **Assumes same AMI distribution as reported by the 2000 US Census (CHAS). * * *29 percent is the average percentage of workers that reside in Avon in 2000. Ownership Units: Units for ownership will also be needed by an estimated 47.3 percent of new workers needed to fill new jobs generated through 2010 and 2015 (provided current estimated owner /renter ratios are maintained in Avon). This will result in demand for an additional 206 units by 2010 and 211 between 2010 and 2015 if 29 percent of the new workforce is housed in Town. About 65 units, priced between 80 and 120 percent of the AMI, would be needed by new workers in 2010. Another 16 units priced between about $273,000 and $319,000 would be needed for households earning between 120 and 140 percent of the AMI in 2010. Keep -Up Ownership Unit Needs: Growth in Jobs, 2010 and 2015 AMI range Income Range Maximum affordable Owner AMI 2010 2015 (3- person household) purchase price* distribution** (units) (units) 50% AMI or less $36,000 or Less $113,918 8.3% 17 18 50.1 -60% AMI $36,001 - $43,200 $136,694 2.8% 6 6 60.1 -80% AMI $43,201 - $53,650 $169,760 5.6% 11 12 80.1- 100 %AM1 $53,651 - $72,000 $227,823 15.1% 31 32 100.1 -120% AMI $72,000 - $86,400 $273,388 16.8% 34 35 120.1 - 140 %AM1 $86,400- $100,800 $318,952 7.8% 16 17 Over 140% AMI Over $100,800 Over $318,952 43.6% 90 92 TOTAL UNITS _ - 206 211 (29.0% of workers) * ** s 5% down; 7% 30 -Year loan; 20% of monthly payment for insurance, taxes, PP * *Assumes same AMI distribution as reported by the 2000 US Census (CHAS). ** *29 percent is the average number of workers that reside in Avon in 2000. Seasonal Workers Peak winter season employment generated demand for about 3,100 workers in Avon in 2003/2004. It is important to note that this includes information from the Vail Resorts offices that moved to Avon a few years ago. It is expected that many of these seasonal employees actually work in Vail. Interviews with employers noted that most of the seasonal workers in Beaver Creek reside in affordable rentals in the area (the Tames, Rivers Edge, Timber Ridge) and that the real crunch typically occurs around the 3 to 4 weeks of the RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Total Current and Future Housing Need TOTAL Housing Rental Ownership Units Needed Units Units Resident needs (2006): Current residents* With housing problems 880 622 258 Catch-up need (2006): In- commuters: 25% Would Move 941 496 445 50% Would Move 1,882 992 890 Keep Up Need (2010 to 2015) New Jobs by 2010: Meeting Need for 47% of New Workers 705 372 176 Meeting Need for 65% of New Workers 975 _ 514 461 Maintaining 29% of Workers in Avon 435 229 206 New Jobs between 2010 and 2015: Meeting Need for 47% of New Workers 724 382 342 Meeting Need for 65% of New Workers 1,002 528 474 Maintaininq 29% of Workers in Avon 447 236 211 Seasonal Workers: Monitor needs with Gondola development and related. Primary need is among Vail workers currently, but will increase in Avon as "destination" development continues (Gondola, hotels/ accommodations, retail, etc.). *Each unit that addresses current resident needs should be assumed to also serve catch -up or keep -up needs of residents, in- commuters or new employees given that the unit vacated by the current resident in need can then be occupied by another household. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Estimated Catch -Up and Keep -Up Need for Rental Units in Avon: 2006 Maximum affordable Estimated in- AMI Range rent (3- person commuter need 2010 (additional 2015 (additional 80.1% -100% AMI $1,800 77 to 155 36 37 >100% AMI Over $1,800 138 to 277 64 66 TOTAL <80% AMI - 281 to 559 129 132 *Assumes no more than 30 percent of household income is used for rent. Shading represents areas of estimated primary need. ` *Range includes 25% to 50% of in- commuters. Shaded area indicates where the market is expected to be deficient in meeting needs. It is expected that the tight rental market for year -round occupancy in Avon (and Eagle County as a whole) may be affecting employers in Avon more significantly than housing for seasonal workers (though seasonal workers do strongly affect housing availability during the winter months). As work on the Gondola in Avon progresses and more seasonal attractions are added in Town (visitor accommodations, retail, etc.), seasonal worker housing should continue to be monitored to ensure that new development accommodates for the needs of the winter seasonal employment that may be required to operate new businesses. In summary: • A total of 568 to 846 rentals priced below 80 percent AMI would be needed to address catch -up needs from residents with housing problems (287 units) and 25 to 50 percent of in- commuters (281 to 559 units). Assuming that the development of Buffalo Ridge in 2003 filled some of this need (244 units), then total catch -up need declines to between 333 and 602 units. • Seasonal units are not necessarily as significant a need as year -round rentals, but seasonal needs should continue to be monitored as "ski front" development (e.g., Gondola, accommodations, etc.) occurs in Avon. As more winter visitors are attracted to Town, this will most likely change the picture of seasonal worker needs among local businesses in the future. • Finally, production of an estimated 129 units by 2010 and another 132 units by 2015 for households earning less than 80 percent AMI would serve keep -up needs from future employment growth. RRC Associates, Inc. Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 100% ,,, 80% rn c U, CO 60% d cc 0 40% c U v Z a CL 20% 0% 2005/2006 Sales vs. MILS (10113/06): Avon Less than 50 to 60% 60 to 80% 80 to 100% 100 to 120% 120% to Over 140% 50 %AMI AMI AMI AMI AMI 140 %AMI AMI (Over ($113,918) ($136,694) ($169,760) ($227,823) ($273,388) ($318,952) $318,952) Source: Eagle County Assessors Data (2006); Eagle County MLS; RRC Associates, Inc. *Dollar amount reflects affordable purchase price for a 3- person household in each respective AMI range. Catch -Up Ownership Housing: It is estimated that about 129 units are needed to address current resident needs (owners with housing problems). This is based on the assumption that each new housing unit produced to address a local need results in' serving a total of two households (given that each resident that vacates an existing unit frees up that unit, which can then be occupied by another household). The bulk of ownership needs are in the 100 to 140 AMI percent range (about 76 units). Estimated Resident Housina Needs: Avon Maximum Affordable Owner With "Housing Estimated Need Purchase Price Households Problems" (50% Gap) AMI Range (3- person household)* # % # # Under 60% AMI $136,694 131 100.0% 131 NA Over 140% AMI Over $318,952 513 5.0% 26 NA TOTAL - 1,178 415 129 In addition to resident housing needs, workers that commute into Avon also produce demand for housing. The below table shows that about 202 to 403 units would be needed to serve in- commuters earning between about 60 and 140 percent of the AMI. Comparing current resident and in- commuter needs for housing to available units shows that: • The primary deficiency in the provision of housing occurs for entry-level homeownership units priced between about $227,823 and $273,388 (80 to 1�0 percent of AMI), with between about 210 to 350 units needed which are not currently supplied. RRC Associates, Town of Avon Housing Needs Assessment 2006 Keep-Up Ownership Housing Needs: 2010 and 2015 Maximum affordable purchase price* 2010 2015 Under 60% AM] $136,694 23 24 Over 140% AMI Over $318,952 90 92 TOTAL Units 206 211 Shaded area represents primary need. *Maximum purchase price for a three - person household earning within each income range. Assumes 5 % down, 7.0% interest for 30 years and 20% of monthly payment for property taxes, insurance and HOA fees, with no more than 30% of household income used for housing payments Associates, Inc. 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NEW BUSINESS REGISTRATIONS New Bus (mo) ur Home New Ownership Name of Business Street Address —Type of Business Open Date Office- Challenge Outfitters, LLC 0101 Fawcett Rd, Unit 170 Retail 12/1/06 no N8 Kimberly Clark d/b/aCreative 910 Nottingham Rd, S4, Retail /Furniture 12/1/06 no NB Home Interiors Mountain Center Showroom End of the Rainbow, LLC 150E Beaver Creek Blvd, Retail 10106 no NB Ste A-103 Little Trestle Ass.. LLCd/b/a 1060 Beaver Creek Blvd. Retail Fishing 12/15/08 no NO Fly Fishing Outfitters Guide Service G'Day Mate Pies, LUC Benchmark Shopping Restaurant /Bakery 1/1/07 no NB Center, Unit 102 Sales AndnywKinsUan Foxd/b/a 105 E. Beaver Creek Blvd. Service 'pastry 12/1/06 no NB KConfections wholesale Lucid Sleep, Inc. 10OVV. Beaver Creek Blvd, Diagnostic Sleep 12/1/08 no NB #218 Services 41 NEW BUSINESS LICENSES WERE ISSUED |N2Q0@ TERMINATED BUSINESS REGISTRATIONS Date Terminated Reason —Name Overland & Express Travel 12/6/06 Closed Avon office; relocated to Edwards 14 BUSINESSES WERE TERMINATED IN 2006